A year after the Kakhovka Dam collapse in southern Ukraine, satellite imagery is revealing major environmental changes that emphasize the need for strategic recovery planning. The June 2023 disaster, one of Ukraine’s largest environmental crises, has severely impacted ecosystems and water resources across the region.

EOS Data Analytics (EOSDA), a company specializing in AI-driven satellite imagery analysis, has been tracking these changes. Satellite data shows a significant drop in agricultural productivity, drying water bodies, and highlights the urgent need for sustainable solutions to help stabilize affected regions.

Loss of Kakhovka dam reservoir creates new terrain

The dam’s collapse drained the Kakhovka Reservoir, leaving over 1,000 square kilometers of land exposed. EOSDA’s satellite analysis documents a significant loss of water content across the reservoir area, creating new land features and altering the hydrological balance. While this drying has led to severe environmental challenges, it has also sparked some natural regeneration in parts of the area.

The water reduction has also affected the cooling pond of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant, a critical facility that once depended on the reservoir for cooling. Although temporary water sources are currently in use, the situation remains unstable and requires continued monitoring.

The North Crimean Canal, a lifeline for farmland irrigation in southern Ukraine and Crimea, has suffered as well. EOSDA data shows a marked decrease in canal water levels, disrupting agricultural irrigation systems. The lower water levels are increasing soil salinity and harming crop health, a trend visible in satellite NDVI and NDMI indices.

“After the dam’s destruction, water levels in the canal significantly dropped, disrupting the irrigation systems that ensured crop yields across thousands of hectares of farmland. A year has passed, and the impact on agriculture is already visible in satellite images of the Crimean Peninsula,” said Oleksii Kryvobok, Chief Science Expert at EOSDA.

According to EOSDA’s analysis, vegetation health across the Crimean Peninsula has declined, pointing to a deepening agricultural crisis with the potential for lasting ecological damage.

Signs of recovery in the Great Meadow

Despite these difficulties, parts of the former Kakhovka Reservoir, known historically as the Great Meadow, are experiencing an unexpected ecological transformation. New plant life, including dense willow forests, has begun to grow, creating habitats for returning wildlife. Ecologist Vadym Maniuk highlights the ecological potential of these emerging ecosystems.

“Just imagine the scale of the ecosystem services the Great Meadow could provide — from large-scale carbon capture and oxygen production by forests to the region’s potential to supply fish and timber,” Maniuk said, emphasizing the need to protect these ecosystems.

Oleksii Angurets, an ecology and sustainable development expert, stresses that recovery plans should consider both ecological and human impacts. “Instead of restoring old irrigation systems, we could apply modern agricultural technologies like drip irrigation to make better use of the available water,” he suggested, urging careful planning that minimizes impact on newly forming ecosystems.

Moving forward with data-driven recovery

The findings from EOS Data Analytics underline the importance of a coordinated, informed recovery approach. While natural regeneration in the Great Meadow offers some optimism, satellite monitoring will be essential in developing sustainable solutions that address both environmental recovery and community needs.